November 20th was a recent low in all three major indexes. All three indexes have rallied off their lows. Dow rose about 4.75% SPX rallied 5% Nasdaq rallied roughly 7.5% Observations: The indexes are in no man's land. If I was not already positioned after the pullback lows of the 20th, I would not be... Continue Reading →
November Month End
November continued with additional sector rotation as traders left technology and discretionary and fed into healthcare. Technology was very strong the last week of November despite the AI-led sell off earlier in the month. Tech continued to beat expectations, yet markets sold off indicating even higher expectations. Forward guidance was not as strong as anticipated... Continue Reading →
Post-Market Recap November 25, 2025
Volatility was the theme of the day—front and center. The indexes chopped around in a wide consolidation range, and if your game plan hinged on index direction, hopefully you navigated it well.. Here are todays markets: We did get a batch of strong earnings this morning, and that sparked some impressive bullish action in a... Continue Reading →
Weekly Recap – Week of November 17-21
This week we saw more rotation out of Technology, consumer cyclical/discretionary, and energy funds flowing into communication and healthcare. Friday was a rally day across the board risk-on, still, healthcare received the bulk of the inflows with LLY hitting the $1 trillion milestone on the back of their oral GLP-1 Longer term, 1-month performance we... Continue Reading →
2021 to Present: An Overview of the Economy From A Retail POV
I will be publishing models and thesis on retail stocks based on this backdrop... in future Posts. Target recently announced a new strategy called "10-4" Macy's has implemented an approach called "Genuine Hospitality" Why did they implement these strategies? Do they believe that upgrading their customer experience will re-invigorate growth? Many other companies have implemented... Continue Reading →
Post Market October 1 2025
Government shutdown didnt phase this market, we closed against at or near highs. Premarket Ideas All the premarket ideas werent very in-play. NKE RPM AYI CAG CALM ADP employment numbers Month over Month showed a decrease of 32,000 whereas consensus was 50,000, prior month revised to 54,000. Still this had zero impact on the market.... Continue Reading →
Premarket October 1 2025
Futures and Commodities Dow futures (/YM) -199 or -0.43% SPX futures (/ES) -31.50 or -0.47% Nasdaq Futures (/NQ) -128.75 or -0.52% Peak-to-trough we saw declines of 0.75 to 1.0% and now we're trading higher off the lows from about 3am shutdown. Followed up with some commodities: Gold futures (/GC)up 37.30 or 0.97% Bitcoin (/BTC) rallying... Continue Reading →
Post-market September 30, 2025
Indexes finished in the green today after a morning of choppiness. Dow +0.18% SP500 +0.41% NSDQ +0.30% Trading Economics The charts above show very minimal impact of the Cases-Shiller index and the Consumer Confidence release. Traders and investors either expected numbers roughly in-line with forecasts or they sat out of the markets due to uncertainty.... Continue Reading →
Pre-market September 30, 2025
Overnight Developments: Indexes declined on Monday September 29, 2025 on looming fears of a government shutdown. In focus is the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and employment figures which will be delayed if we shut down. Other concerns include delayed data gathering for the next BLS reports. Economic Releases: "Home price inflation continues to trend... Continue Reading →
State of the U.S. Economy in 2024
The U.S. economy in 2024 has seen a mix of resilience and challenge. Factors like inflationary pressures, a shifting labor market, ongoing innovation, and geopolitical tensions have all influenced the economic landscape. Here’s a deep dive into the critical trends shaping the U.S. economy today. 1. Economic Growth and GDP Performance GDP Growth: The U.S.... Continue Reading →
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